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2024-12-14 00:09:42

Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."Hungarian Prime Minister: Zelensky explicitly rejected the ceasefire on December 25th. Hungarian Prime Minister Orban said on the 11th local time that Ukrainian President Zelensky explicitly rejected the proposal of a ceasefire on December 25th. "Hungary's rotating presidency of the European Union came to an end, and we made the latest efforts for peace, proposing a ceasefire on December 25th and conducting a large-scale exchange of prisoners of war. Zelensky explicitly rejected and ruled out this possibility ". Hungarian Foreign Minister Jardot said on the same day that Orban mentioned the proposal of ceasefire and exchange of prisoners of war when talking with Putin, but Kiev rejected this proposal. It is said that the Hungarian government contacted Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sibiga and Ukrainian President's Office Director Ermak.US stocks closed: Nasdaq stood at 20,000 points for the first time in history, and star technology stocks such as Google and Tesla hit record highs. US stocks closed mixed, with the Dow down 0.22%, the S&P 500 index up 0.82% and the Nasdaq up 1.77%, breaking through 20,000 points for the first time and hitting a new record high. Star technology stocks are climbing, with Tesla, Google, Amazon, Meta and Netflix all hitting record highs. Among them, Tesla and Google rose by nearly 6%, while Amazon, Meta and Nai soared by more than 2%. Bitcoin regained its position of $100,000, and cryptocurrency concept stocks soared collectively. MicroStrategy rose by more than 9%, Riot Platforms rose by more than 6%, and Bit Digital and Coinbase rose by nearly 4%. Gold and silver mining stocks generally rose, Cordillen Mining rose more than 5%, Pan American Silver rose more than 3%, and harmony Gold and Hekela Mining rose nearly 3%.


Somali President Mohamed: We are willing to cooperate with Ethiopian leaders and people and make full use of our opportunities in all aspects.The Israeli army said it had withdrawn from the Shyam area in southern Lebanon. On the evening of 11th local time, the Israel Defense Forces announced that according to the ceasefire agreement reached with Hezbollah in Lebanon, the troops had withdrawn from the Shyam area in southern Lebanon that morning, and Lebanese Armed Forces soldiers would be deployed in the area together with the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon. The Israeli military says it is still deployed in other parts of southern Lebanon and will continue to fight any threat.Analyst: The Trump FTC has selected good news for large technology companies. The FTC is about to undergo leadership changes. Wedbush analysts believe that this is a major positive for large technology companies led by Amazon, Meta Platforms and Microsoft. Shares of Amazon and major technology companies rose on Wednesday after President-elect Trump said he would appoint Andrew Ferguson to lead the FTC, replacing Lina Khan, the current FTC chairman. Khan is the main critic of large technology companies. She filed a lawsuit against Meta and Amazon, and also challenged Microsoft to acquire Activision Blizzard for $69 billion, but it was unsuccessful. Ferguson is a Republican and has served as a member of the Federal Trade Commission. "Christmas in science and technology has come early," Wedbush analyst Dan Ives said in a customer report, adding that "at the critical moment of the artificial intelligence arms race, the' sweat suspense' in science and technology has been eliminated. We expect the strong to be stronger, because Mag 7 has started the M&A engine again, and Microsoft, Oracle Bone Inscriptions, Alphabet, Amazon and Tesla will accelerate the transaction to expand their technology moat. "


Dollar deposits and wealth management are popular again. Experts suggest paying attention to exchange risk. Although it is in the cycle of interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve, dollar deposit products are still attractive to investors. Since December, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have intensively put on shelves US dollar wealth management products. Judging from the rate of return, the performance benchmark of some US dollar fixed-income wealth management products currently launched is close to 5%, but the performance benchmark of RMB wealth management products with the same risk level is mostly around 2%. According to the statistics of Puyi standard data, as of December 9, there were 1,312 surviving products in US dollar financing, and the surviving scale of US dollar financing reached 281.927 billion yuan, which has doubled from the surviving scale of 140.351 billion yuan at the end of December last year. In addition, although banks have previously lowered the interest rate of dollar deposit products, from the current point of view, the interest rate of some banks' dollar deposits remains above 4%, attracting many customers to buy. According to industry insiders, under the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, the main reason for the high heat of dollar wealth management and dollar deposits is the exchange rate expectation of a strong dollar. If the market expects the US dollar to appreciate or remain stable, holding US dollar assets (such as US dollar wealth management and US dollar deposits) can benefit from the potential exchange rate appreciation even if interest rates fall. In addition, in order to diversify risks, some investors choose to allocate part of their funds to US dollar assets to realize diversification of asset allocation. (Securities Daily)It's a mystery to say "no" to the influx of large amounts of funds, and the public offering products are setting off a wave of "restricted purchases". Whether it is an active equity fund, a debt-based fund or QDII fund, many outstanding products have recently announced the suspension of large-scale subscription, and even some funds have chosen to directly adjust the subscription threshold to 0 yuan and suspend all subscription operations. Some insiders said that there is another mystery for fund companies to suspend large-scale subscriptions. As the end of the year approaches, the market gradually enters the stage of differentiation. At this time, the purchase restriction is likely to come from the consideration that the fund manager hopes that the capital side will be more stable. (CSI)Fitch Ratings: US state and local governments are expected to return to normal in 2025.

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